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Hydrologic Outlook

National Weather Service Medford OR

414 PM PDT Wed Mar 12 2025



...Flood Potential Outlook for rapid rises and possible flooding 

from rain and snow melt on rivers and streams in Jackson, Josephine, 

Douglas, Coos, and Curry counties in Oregon and in Siskiyou County 

in California...



An active storm track will remain over the area through at least 

early next week. A front is moving through today, followed by an 

upper trough and showery pattern tonight and Thursday. Another 

frontal system moves into the area Friday. This is followed by a 

moist, atmospheric river system late Saturday into Sunday. Each of 

these systems is expected to bring snow and wind impacts to portions 

of the area. The fluctuating precipitation and snow levels means 

that some recently accumulated snow will be melted by the heavy 

rainfall causing increased runoff.



River levels are expected to rise, especially for rivers and streams 

west of the Cascades, Sunday into Monday as heavy rain moves into 

western portions of the area. While forecasts could change as the 

situation becomes more clear, the most recent river forecast 

predicts flood stage to be reached by Saturday night on Deer Creek 

near Roseburg and by Sunday night on the Rogue River near Agness. 

Other rivers and streams will see large rises that could be 

dangerous for anyone near the water.



A flood potential outlook is issued when there is the potential for 

significant rises or flooding along rivers and streams.



The exact scenario for flooding remains uncertain. This product will 

be updated as necessary. Watches and warnings may be issued by the 

National Weather Service if this situation worsens.



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SH