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FNUS22 KWNS 160659

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0159 AM CDT Wed Apr 16 2025



Valid 171200Z - 181200Z



...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL INTO

NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO PARTS OF

THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



...Synopsis...

An upper-level trough will continue its slow progression eastward on

Thursday. Mid-level winds will increase and peak during the

afternoon in New Mexico. A deep surface low will develop in eastern

Colorado into western Kansas. A cold front will move southward into

the central Plains by late afternoon.



...New Mexico...

A significant fire weather event is expected across much of New

Mexico. Strong surface winds of 25-40 mph appear likely,

particularly in portions of central and northeastern New Mexico.

Wind gusts with the mid-level jet overhead will approach 50-60 mph.

ERC data shows much of this region at or above the 90th percentile

due to ongoing severe drought. A swath of 5-10% RH is also probable

during the afternoon. These conditions will promote extreme fire

behavior should any ignitions occur.



...Southern High Plains...

RH values near 10% are expected to extend into parts of eastern

Colorado, western/central Kansas, and the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles.

Strong winds of 20-30 mph are also expected. The strongest winds are

expected from the northwest Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into southeast

Colorado and far southwest Kansas. Strong downslope winds will

extend into parts of the central Front Range. Critical fire weather

will occur where the strongest winds overlap with sufficiently dry

fuels. The critical highlights have been kept out of parts of the

Texas Panhandle/South Plains where greenup will mitigate fuel

receptiveness. Elsewhere, elevated to critical fire weather can be

expect for several hours. The northern extent of the greatest fire

weather risk will be delineated by the southward moving cold front.

Some areas of northeast Colorado into northwest Kansas will see

elevated to briefly critical conditions before winds shift to the

north and RH rises.



..Wendt.. 04/16/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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