####018001695####
FNUS21 KWNS 180546

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025



Valid 181200Z - 191200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW

MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...



...Synopsis...

An upper trough initially in the Great Basin will move towards the

Four Corners region today. A modest surface low in eastern New

Mexico into West Texas will develop during the day. A cold front

will continue to make southward progress into the southern Plains.



...New Mexico into West Texas...

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are again expected

during the afternoon. Moderate mid-level flow across the Southwest

and southern Plains and a modest surface low along the Texas/New

Mexico border will drive 15-20 mph (up to 25 mph in the terrain)

surface winds by the afternoon. RH will be slightly higher than

Thursday on account of mid/upper-level clouds. Values of around 10%

may occur, but will occur on a relatively local basis. 15-20% will

be more common. The driest fuels will be in New Mexico and the

Trans-Pecos. Farther east in the Texas Panhandle/South Plains,

transitional/greening fuels will mitigate fire weather concerns even

with similarly dry and windy conditions.



...Florida...

Easterly winds of around 10 mph appear possible during the

afternoon. RH of 25-35% can be expected along the western Peninsula.

With dry fuels (current ERC data showing some locations above the

90th percentile), elevated fire weather is likely this afternoon.



..Wendt.. 04/18/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018001693####
FNUS22 KWNS 180548

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1247 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025



Valid 191200Z - 201200Z



...Synopsis...

An upper-level trough will eject into the southern Plains on

Saturday, though it will lose some amplitude during the period. A

cold front will continue southward into more of the southern High

Plains and eventually the Permian Basin. A surface low near the

Trans-Pecos/Big Bend will deepen during the day before weakening

during the evening as the trough lifts northeastward.



...Trans-Pecos/Big Bend...

Though cooler/moist air to the east and north will limit the areal

extent, elevated fire weather will occur within the Trans-Pecos and

Big Bend Saturday afternoon. Moderate to strong mid-level winds will

remain in the region during the afternoon and the surface low will

also be deepest during the favorable diurnal heating maximum. Cloud

cover should be minimal in this area given the presence of dry air

aloft. Surface winds of 15-20 mph are likely along with RH of 5-20%.

Areas of southeast New Mexico into the South Plains could see

briefly elevated conditions, but uncertainty in duration is too

great for highlights.



...Florida...

Continued dry easterly flow will once again promote elevated fire

weather along the western Peninsula during the afternoon. Models

indicate winds could be slightly stronger than on Friday (10-15

mph). RH will fall to similar levels, however (25-35% anticipated by

the afternoon. Very dry fuels will support fire spread.



..Wendt.. 04/18/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$