####018002387#### FNUS28 KWNS 252201 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 031200Z A potent upper-level trough and associated mid-level jet will shift into the Southwest U.S. for Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday. This will bring a broad fire weather threat to eastern Arizona and much of New Mexico, potentially into southeastern Colorado as well depending on rainfall distribution and fuels by Day 3/Sunday. Another upper-level trough and subsequent post frontal offshore flow could bring a fire weather threat to the Mid-Atlantic on Day 3/Sunday, but fuels should be tamed by expected preceding rainfall. Dry and isolated breezy conditions will persist across the Southwest through Day 8/Friday, but growing ensemble member spread and increasing uncertainty precludes Critical probabilities at this time. ...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday - New Mexico and adjacent High Plains... The primary fire weather concern remains over eastern Arizona into New Mexico for early next week. Mostly cloud free skies coincident with the arrival of a mid-level jet max should contribute to efficient boundary-layer turbulent mixing, with surface winds from the southwest approaching 30 mph in parts of southern and central New Mexico. The gusty surface winds combined with relative humidity below 10 percent in many locations should contribute to critical fire weather conditions favorable for wildfire spread. Critical probabilities of 70 percent were maintained as certainty remains high for this event. The upper-level trough and stronger mid-level flow shift eastward for Day 4/Monday. The subsequent fire weather threat should be more confined to southeastern New Mexico and far West Texas where 40 percent Critical probabilities were introduced. ...Florida... Very dry fuels persist across the Florida Peninsula. East-southeast winds will remain light enough to preclude Critical probabilities. A cold front is expected to bring some, at least temporary, relief to dry fuels from rainfall on Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday. However, the spotty convective rainfall could leave a few dry areas across the state, particularly the southern Florida Peninsula. ..Williams/Weinman.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ ####018000433#### FNUS38 KWNS 252202 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0459 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025 VALID TIME 271200Z - 031200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D3 32940841 34220754 35260744 35690631 35800510 35130447 33780476 32130549 31420613 31760644 31720816 31280813 31290996 31830964 32940841 &&