####018000271#### FNUS38 KWNS 272202 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0500 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2025 VALID TIME 291200Z - 051200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... && ####018001905#### FNUS28 KWNS 272202 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 051200Z ...Days 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday... A short-wave trough over the Southwest U.S. will continue to bring lingering fire weather concerns to southern New Mexico and far west Texas Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities remain for Day 3/Tuesday across southern New Mexico and far Western Texas, with fire weather threat shifting and shrinking to primarily far western Texas by Day 4/Wednesday where available fuels remain receptive to wildfire spread. Another upper-level wave and cold front shift eastward across the northern Rockies for Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday presenting a potential post-frontal/downslope wind fire weather threat across eastern Montana. Spatial distribution of frontal precipitation is a bit uncertain and precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time for Days 4-5/Wednesday-Thursday. ...Day 6-8/Friday-Sunday... Ridge amplification over the western U.S. will support a lighter wind regime but above normal temperatures for much of the Intermountain West and Northwestern Tier states. Long term model and ensemble guidance suggests another potentially strong, negatively tilted upper-trough into the western U.S. through the weekend (Days 7-8). Attendant strong winds aloft over a well-mixed boundary layer could present another broad fire weather concern over much of the Southwest for the weekend time frame. 40 percent Critical probabilities were added for eastern Arizona into western New Mexico where drought stressed fuels remain and minimal to no precipitation leading up to the weekend across this region is expected. ..Williams.. 04/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$