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FNUS21 KWNS 291654

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1153 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025



Valid 291700Z - 301200Z



Dry return flow across the Mid-Atlantic will continue through this

afternoon ahead of a cold front expected to move through the region

tonight into Wednesday morning. Latest surface observations and

model guidance shows primary fire weather concern concentrated over

a corridor from New Jersey into Connecticut where relative humidity

as low as 25 percent combined with winds up to 20 mph will bring

Elevated fire weather conditions through this afternoon. In

addition, elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are

still expected across southern New Mexico into far western Texas and

into the Big Bend area. Only minor trimming of Elevated highlights

was needed east of the Sacramento Mountains in southeastern New

Mexico as a post-frontal air mass mitigates fire weather concerns

today for this area.



..Williams.. 04/29/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025/



...Synopsis...

Ahead of a slow-moving large-scale trough over the Four Corners,

moderate-strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow will overspread

a deeply mixed post-dryline air mass over southern NM into the

Trans-Pecos. A modest pressure gradient and enhanced winds through

the boundary layer will yield 15-20 mph sustained west-southwesterly

surface winds (with higher gusts) and 5-10 percent RH during the

afternoon. Given dry fuels, elevated to locally critical

fire-weather conditions are expected. 



Farther east, dry/breezy return flow will develop across portions of

the Mid-Atlantic states. With modestly receptive fuels across the

area, 10-15 mph southerly surface winds and around 30 percent RH

will favor elevated fire-weather conditions.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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