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FNUS22 KWNS 011949

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0248 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



An approaching mid-level trough interacting with an elevated

moisture plume draped along the Southwest from southern California

to New Mexico is expected to bring another round of afternoon

convection, concentrated in the higher terrain northwestern Arizona

into western New Mexico. Isolated dry thunderstorms are expected

where boundary layer moisture remains limited and fuels remain

receptive (90th percentile or higher ERC values), primarily across

eastern Arizona and western New Mexico. Therefore, Isolated Dry

Thunderstorm highlights were added to communicate this fire weather

threat.



..Williams.. 05/01/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/



...Synopsis...

A low-amplitude midlevel trough will move eastward across northern

Mexico and the Southwest. As large-scale ascent accompanying this

feature overspreads a midlevel moisture plume across the Southwest,

widely scattered dry thunderstorms will develop along the higher

terrain. However, the overlap of these high-based thunderstorms and

dry/receptive fuels appears too limited for Dry Thunderstorm

highlights at this time. Elsewhere across the CONUS, a minimal

overlap of dry/breezy conditions will limit fire-weather concerns.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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