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FNUS22 KWNS 021923

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...NO CRITICAL AREAS...



Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather

Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into

eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1.

Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for

D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting

rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms

are expected.



..Thornton.. 05/02/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/



...Synopsis...

Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the

Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through

late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across

the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach

the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave

will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4

to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin.

Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep

mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from

central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture

throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to

limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While

this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire

weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel

conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought

guidance.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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