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FNUS38 KWNS 032018

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0316 PM CDT SAT MAY 03 2025



VALID TIME 051200Z - 111200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



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FNUS28 KWNS 032018

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025



Valid 051200Z - 111200Z



As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on

D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern

New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of

central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the

dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has

occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico,

however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy

conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated

to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again

Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk.



Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen

more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th

percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region

and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will

likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will

remain possible where less rainfall is received.



Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far

west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights

will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the

areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns

low through much of the extended.



..Thornton.. 05/03/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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