####018002563####
FNUS28 KWNS 082153

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025



Valid 101200Z - 161200Z



An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over

the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week

as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal

temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day

3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday

into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the

northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow,

especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate

east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast

through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida

and the Deep South through the Carolinas. 



...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper

Midwest...

Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the

northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early

next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow,

elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday

- Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some

uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will

increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest.

Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels

entering or already in there spring dip. 



There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the

Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day

5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include

probabilities at this time. 



...Great Basin into the Southwest...

As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy

conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from

the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will

start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and

western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the

Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has

reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the

Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if

probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions

increase.



..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018000271####
FNUS38 KWNS 082153

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0451 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2025



VALID TIME 101200Z - 161200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



&&