####018002173#### FNUS28 KWNS 152200 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z An upper-level trough will dig southeastward into the western U.S. on Days 3-4/Saturday-Sunday while an upper-low translates eastward into the northeastern U.S. A preceding short wave and enhanced mid-level flow will eject into the Southwest on Day 3/Saturday signaling the start of a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of Arizona/New Mexico. A jet max on the southern periphery of the larger scale trough will support stronger winds across Arizona/New Mexico this weekend amid dry fuels and low relative humidity. Broad ridging is expected to setup across the western U.S. Day 6-8/Tuesday-Thursday. This will bring generally subdued fire weather conditions but rising temperatures which will aid in curing/drying of fuels, particularly across the Great Basin and Southwest. ...Southwest... An upper-level short wave arriving Day 3/Saturday into southern Arizona/New Mexico is still expected to bring Critical fire weather conditions to southern New Mexico where fuels continue to dry. Stronger southwest winds arrive Day 4-5/Sunday-Monday as a jet max rounds the base of the trough, which will coincide with a very dry, well mixed boundary layer supporting single digit relative humidity values. 70 percent Critical probabilities have been added to mainly far southern New Mexico with model guidance consensus yielding higher forecast confidence. Conditions improve Day 6/Tuesday and especially by midweek as ridging begins to take hold ushering in lighter winds but continued dry conditions. ...Sacramento Valley... Dry, post-frontal north winds funneling through the Sacramento valley combined with recently cured fine fuels at lower elevations could promote an increased fire spread potential for Day 4-5/Sunday-Monday. However, some uncertainty exists in magnitude of winds so left Critical probabilities out for now. ..Williams.. 05/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ ####018000505#### FNUS38 KWNS 152200 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0458 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2025 VALID TIME 171200Z - 231200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D3 32230987 33260740 33480551 32720453 31530577 31530626 31760654 31660809 31170819 31311038 32230987 D4 33500590 33420473 32380433 31560480 31010560 31730654 31660808 31180819 31270958 31950899 33500590 &&