####018001339####
FNUS21 KWNS 110658

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0157 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025



Valid 111200Z - 121200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN

ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...



...Synopsis...

A mid-level trough will traverse the southern Rockies, encouraging

surface lee troughing and associated dry downslope flow across

portions of the southern High Plains today. By afternoon peak

heating, sustained westerly surface winds in the 15-25 range will

overlap with 5-15 percent RH and fuels receptive to wildfire spread

over portions of extreme southeast Arizona into western Texas,

necessitating the maintenance of Elevated and Critical highlights. 



Meanwhile, a surface trough and associated cold front will sweep

across the Northeast today. Ahead of the cold front, southwesterly

surface winds, mainly around 10 mph, will coincide with 25-40

percent RH during the afternoon. Given the marginal surface wind

fields and recent rainfall, Elevated highlights have been withheld.

Still, at least localized wildfire-spread potential exists where

stronger wind gusts can overlap with dry fuel beds.



..Squitieri.. 03/11/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018001472####
FNUS22 KWNS 110659

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0158 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025



Valid 121200Z - 131200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO MUCH

OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS...



...Synopsis...

A mid-level trough will eject into the southern High Plains and

traverse the state of Texas tomorrow (Wednesday), supporting strong

surface low development and the eastward surging of a dryline during

the afternoon. Behind the dryline, very dry and windy conditions

will encourage dangerous wildfire-spread potential. By afternoon

peak heating, the dryline is poised to approach the I-35 corridor,

with sustained westerly surface winds over 25 mph amid 10-15 percent

RH becoming common in the post dryline environment, from eastern New

Mexico into western and central Texas. Several guidance members are

also depicting brief bouts of Extremely Critical conditions across

portions of western and central Texas, though these conditions do

not appear widespread enough for Extremely Critical highlights at

this time. Nonetheless, the aforementioned winds and RH will be

overlapping dry fuels, some of which have yet to experience

appreciable rainfall, so high-end Critical fire weather conditions

are expected for much of western into central Texas.



..Squitieri.. 03/11/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$