####018002353####
FNUS28 KWNS 142151

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0449 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025



Valid 161200Z - 221200Z



An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the

central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple

days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected. 



...D3 - Sunday, Southwest Texas...

Enhanced northwesterly flow aloft will overspread the southern

Rockies Sunday, aiding in gusty northwesterly flow into western

Texas. Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions will be

possible Sunday across portions of southwestern Texas from the

Permian Basin south to the Edwards Plateau and into south-central

Texas. Northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph, gusting

around 20-30 mph) will overlap relative humidity reductions to

around 15 percent. Fuels in this region are very supportive of fire

spread, however, winds may hover just below Critical criteria

supporting the addition of a 40 percent delineation.



...D4-D5 Monday/Tuesday, Central High Plains, Southern Plains...

Across the western Pacific, a trough will begin deepening on D4

Monday - D5 Tuesday, with westerly flow aloft overspreading the

southern Rockies. This will enhance lee troughing and encourage

surface low development by Tuesday afternoon. Winds look to be

maximized Tuesday afternoon, where Extremely Critical conditions

will be possible across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle.

Fuels in this region have undergone extreme fire weather conditions

in the D1 and D2 period and will be extremely susceptible to fire

spread. 40-70 percent probabilities were maintained with this

outlook to cover this threat.  



...D6-D7 Wednesday/Thursday, Southern Plains...

Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated

fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into the Texas

Panhandle on D6 Wednesday. Winds will shift to become southeasterly

on Thursday, but conditions look to remain very dry with slow

moisture return late D7/Thursday into D8/Friday. 40 percent

probabilities were extended southward across the Rio Grande Valley

for both days with this outlook.



..Thornton.. 03/14/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018000829####
FNUS38 KWNS 142151

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0449 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2025



VALID TIME 161200Z - 221200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D4     28840021 28780062 29380109 29660152 29750218 29700248

       29640258 29320279 28970292 28930313 28960343 29080366

       29170396 29400424 29970439 30990451 32060461 32840465

       34840468 36220412 36480303 36210000 35479909 34669889

       33889869 32989888 30839954 29519981 28840021

D5     31690810 32130808 33760710 34640606 36180403 37210301

       38190183 39060027 39099930 37679863 35169943 33819942

       30520207 29730220 29670260 29270283 28970298 28920330

       29410439 29590460 30570503 30950559 31690653 31690810

&&