####018000928####
FNUS38 KWNS 172126

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0424 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2025



VALID TIME 191200Z - 251200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D3     31780571 33040470 33070456 33120424 33070407 32780312

       32690286 32600257 32410193 32320167 31900084 30909967

       30539923 30089885 29229896 28579933 28129986 28109988

       28140018 28360034 28550050 29610145 29660172 29700199

       29840261 29910303 30040377 30100416 30300472 30520503

       30730527 30900543 31340581 31780571

D5     30530496 32090481 33030430 33750353 35200289 35480265

       36260175 37260035 37499946 37349831 36959764 36279738

       35449751 34339772 33239802 32659873 32009953 31330047

       30850133 30380189 30000282 29790354 29750408 29760436

       29830456 29860465 30380494 30530496

&&

####018002299####
FNUS28 KWNS 172126

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0424 PM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025



Valid 191200Z - 251200Z



An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the

central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple

days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected.



...D3 Wednesday through D5 Friday, Southern Plains...

Post frontal northwesterly flow will bring potential for Elevated to

Critical fire concerns across portions of eastern New Mexico into

the Texas Panhandle on D3 - Wednesday. The best alignment of fuels

and Critically dry conditions will be from southeastern New Mexico

into western Texas and along the Mexico border into portions of

south-central Texas. The 70 percent Critical probabilities were

expanded further south with this outlook.



Winds will shift to become southeasterly on D4-Thursday, but

conditions look to remain very dry and breezy, with slow moisture

return late D4/Thursday into D5/Friday. A belt of strong

west-southwesterly flow aloft will overspread the central/southern

Plains again on Friday with surface low development expected across

Kansas/Oklahoma. On D5 - Friday, 40 percent probabilities and 70

percent were maintained with this outlook.



...D3 Wednesday, West Virginia Southern Pennsylvania...

Strong southerly flow will overlap relative humidity reductions to

around 20 percent across portions of Western Virginia into southern

Pennsylvania on Wednesday. A small 40 percent region was added to

cover this risk with recent fire activity suggesting fuels are

receptive to spread.



...D6 Sunday through D8 Monday Southern Plains...

Weak surface troughing and periods of breezy post frontal

northwesterly flow will keep periods of windy/dry conditions

possible across the central/southern High Plains each day through

the end of the extended. There is low confidence in strength/track

of a shortwave tracking across the central/high Plains into the

midwest on D7 - Saturday. Depending on the evolution of this

feature, some Critical conditions may occur across the central high

Plains again.



..Thornton.. 03/17/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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