####018002926####
FNUS22 KWNS 191938

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0237 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025



Valid 201200Z - 211200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS

AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA

PENINSULA...



A few updates were needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. 



The Critical area across western New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle

was expanded eastward to include more of the Texas Panhandle and

into portions of central New Mexico. This was in alignment with

recent model guidance which brings stronger winds across these

region than previously forecast. Minor adjustments were made to

expand the Elevated further across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles

south into southwestern Texas in line with these trends as well.



A Critical area was added across the eastern Florida Peninsula with

this outlook. Across this region, relative humidity reductions to

25-30 percent will overlap sustained westerly flow around 10-15 mph.

A broad Elevated region was included from the central peninsula

eastward to the coast. The best overlap of Critical conditions looks

to be across the eastern peninsula from the Orlando Metro south to

the Gold Coast and Miami Metro.



..Thornton.. 03/19/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025/



...Synopsis...

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on

Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high

pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through

the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently

over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a

relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the

northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the

northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds

are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in

dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and

southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the

teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%)

expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions.

Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM

where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over

the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the

potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20

mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions.

Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical

meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will

likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$