####018002066####
FNUS22 KWNS 210712

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0211 AM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025



Valid 221200Z - 231200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND

SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...



...Synopsis...

Strong northwesterly flow aloft will continue Saturday as a

shortwave trough and mid-level jet move over the central Rockies and

Plains. A lee low will deepen over the northern Plains with a

surface trough trailing south into the southern Plains. Strong

downslope winds are likely, along with dry conditions, supporting

elevated to critical fire-weather concerns.



...Northern/Central Plains...

Near the strong lee low, northwesterly downslope winds of 15-25 mph

are likely across parts of eastern SD, WY, CO and NE as the upper

trough and strong jet shift southeast. Downslope warming/drying

should also support RH values below 30% across much of the central

High Plains. While area fuels remain of mixed receptiveness, some

antecedent drying Friday should allow for more widespread elevated

to locally critical fire-weather concerns to develop, given the dry

and breezy conditions.



...West Texas and southern High Plains...

As the lee trough intensifies, westerly downslope winds are likely

across much of eastern New Mexico and west Texas. Stronger mid-level

flow, and the surface trough, will aid in bolstering surface winds

to 15-25 mph, with the strong winds likely across the Rio Grande

Valley to the Davis Mountains. With warm diurnal temperatures in the

70s and 80s, the dry downslope flow and strong diurnal mixing will

favor low afternoon RH of 10-20%. Widespread elevated fire-weather

conditions are likely across the southern High Plains. Additionally,

several hours of critical conditions appear likely across

southeastern New Mexico and southwest Texas, given stronger surface

winds and little recent rainfall.



..Lyons.. 03/21/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$