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FNUS22 KWNS 291934

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0234 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025



Valid 301200Z - 311200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN

NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...



The previous forecast (see below) remains generally on track. The

primary change made to this outlook was to expand Critical

probabilities into central and eastern New Mexico. Here, the latest

guidance consensus shows 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds,

overlapping with 10-15 percent RH and dry fuels, necessitating this

northward Critical expansion. 



Dry, locally breezy conditions may also develop by afternoon peak

heating across portions of the Mid Atlantic, though these conditions

appear too brief to warrant Elevated highlights this outlook.



..Squitieri.. 03/29/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0130 AM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025/



...Synopsis...

A belt of strong midlevel westerly flow will redevelop across the

southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains during the afternoon,

while a lee cyclone/trough persists over the southern High Plains.  



...Southern New Mexico into the Texas Trans-Pecos...

During the afternoon, deep boundary-layer mixing will extend into

the base of the strong midlevel jet streak. This, coupled with a

modest pressure gradient peripheral to the lee cyclone/trough, will

favor 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds (with higher gusts)

amid single-digit to lower teens RH. Given dry/receptive fuels

across the area, critical fire-weather conditions are expected.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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