####018000838#### FNUS38 KWNS 292047 PFWF38 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0345 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025 VALID TIME 311200Z - 061200Z FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8 ... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ... D4 30970554 31360608 31670656 31730684 31810704 32050724 32510705 33610634 34740563 35810480 36430443 37270375 37650275 37810124 37730031 37159984 36369980 34659992 33460033 32000147 30180297 29750348 29550403 29510437 29590455 29960477 30970554 D5 31800896 32640814 34000600 35840340 35830187 35400134 34130176 32790219 32300237 31670303 31150380 30790428 30620466 30570500 30730534 30910573 31200611 31520638 31640707 31680781 31630800 31370814 31260822 31220849 31240896 31800896 && ####018002000#### FNUS28 KWNS 292047 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025 Valid 311200Z - 061200Z The first few days within the extended period will be busy fire weather wise across portions of the southern High Plains, as a series of mid-level troughs will overspread the region and support multiple rounds of surface troughing/cyclone development. As this occurs, dry downslope flow, in tandem with isallobaric westerly surface flow, and downward momentum transport within a mixed boundary layer, will all support dry/windy conditions Days 3-5 (Monday-Wednesday). These dry/windy conditions are expected to exceed Critical thresholds on Tuesday and Wednesday as an 80-100 kt mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains, where 70% Critical probabilities have been introduced. Guidance consensus suggests that Day 4/Tuesday will be the worst day in the series, as the core of the aforementioned low-level jet will overspread the New Mexico/Texas border by afternoon peak heating, and the surface low strengthens to 986 mb over southwestern Kansas. Sustained westerly surface winds may exceed 30 mph amid 10-20 percent RH across much of eastern New Mexico into western Texas behind a dryline. Given very dry fuels and no forecast rainfall to dampen these fuels, widespread high-end Critical conditions are likely, with at least sporadic Extremely Critical conditions possible. Thereafter, dry conditions should persist across the southern High Plains through the remainder of the week. At least occasionally breezy conditions are likely, though low chances for widespread Critical conditions precludes Critical probabilities at this time. Still, Elevated highlights may be needed for portions of New Mexico into western Texas by the Days 1-2 time frame. ..Squitieri.. 03/29/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$