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FNUS21 KWNS 310700

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0159 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025



Valid 311200Z - 011200Z



...Synopsis...

Midlevel westerly flow will gradually strengthen across the

southern/central Rockies -- well ahead of an amplifying large-scale

trough over the West. This will promote lee troughing over the High

Plains, with a modest pressure gradient across southeast CO and much

of NM. As a result, breezy west-southwesterly surface winds will

overlap 10-15 percent RH, favoring elevated to locally critical

fire-weather conditions.



..Weinman.. 03/31/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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####018001949####
FNUS22 KWNS 310700

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0159 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025



Valid 011200Z - 021200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH

PLAINS...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...



...Synopsis...

Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the

West, an 80-90-kt west-southwesterly midlevel jet streak will

overspread the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains. In

response, a surface cyclone will deepen to around 986 mb over the

central High Plains, while a southward-extending dryline sharpens

over the southern High Plains. 



...Southern High Plains, Central/Southern New Mexico, and Southeast

Arizona...

West of the dryline, diurnal heating beneath increasing high-level

clouds, combined with very strong downslope warming/drying, will

yield 10-15 percent RH and an axis of middle/upper 80s F

temperatures over the southern High Plains. At the same time, a

tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the

strong flow aloft will contribute to 25-35 mph sustained

west-southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts). These factors

will support widespread high-end critical conditions and the

potential for rapid spread of wildfires. 



While much of NM, southeast CO, southwest KS, and the

northern/western TX/OK Panhandles will experience extremely critical

meteorological conditions (30+ mph sustained surface winds and lower

teens RH), current indications are that minimal fuel loading and/or

marginal fuel dryness across many of these areas limit the need for

such highlights. The one exception may be over the western/northern

portion of the TX/OK Panhandles, though this area appears too

localized for an upgrade at this time.



..Weinman.. 03/31/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$