####018001508####
FNUS21 KWNS 010656

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0155 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025



Valid 011200Z - 021200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO NEW

MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



...Synopsis...

Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the

West, an 80-kt west-southwesterly midlevel jet streak will impinge

on the southern High Plains during the afternoon. In response, a lee

cyclone will deepen to around 986 mb over the central High Plains,

while a southward-extending dryline sharpens over the southern High

Plains.



...Far Southeast Arizona into New Mexico and the Southern High

Plains...

West of the dryline, strong downslope flow and diurnal

heating/mixing (beneath high-level clouds overspreading the area)

will favor an expansive area of 10-15 percent RH. Additionally, an

axis of upper 80s/lower 90s surface temperatures will extend

northeastward from the Trans-Pecos into Northwest TX. At the same

time, a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening

surface cyclone, and mixing into the strong flow aloft, will

contribute to 25-35 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds

(with gusts upwards of 50 mph). These conditions will result in an

expansive area of high-end critical to localized extremely critical

conditions.



..Weinman.. 04/01/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018001118####
FNUS22 KWNS 010657

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0157 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF

THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



...Synopsis...

A belt of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread the

southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains through the period, while

weak lee troughing persists over the central High Plains.



...Southern New Mexico and parts of the Southern High Plains...

Diurnally driven boundary-layer heating/mixing beneath a stream of

mid/high-level clouds will contribute to 15-20 percent RH during the

afternoon. While the pressure gradient will be modest, downward

momentum transfer within the well-mixed boundary layer will support

around 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with

higher gusts). As a result, critical conditions are expected across

southern NM into parts of the southern High Plains.



..Weinman.. 04/01/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$