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FNUS22 KWNS 011946

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0246 PM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025



Valid 021200Z - 031200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF

THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...



Minor changes were made to the previous forecast to reflect the

latest guidance consensus. An expansion of Elevated fire weather

conditions into southeastern Colorado was made to account for

downslope wind effects and very low RH values in the single digits

early in the day before winds diminish in the afternoon. Additional

expansion of Elevated conditions was made into portions of the

Oklahoma Panhandle and western Oklahoma. This change was to account

for some uncertainty regarding eastward extent of a well-mixed

boundary layer with accompanying low surface RH values, perhaps

dropping into the single digits across the Oklahoma and Texas

Panhandles. Otherwise, the previous forecast (see below) remains on

track.



..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/01/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025/



...Synopsis...

A belt of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread the

southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains through the period, while

weak lee troughing persists over the central High Plains.



...Southern New Mexico and parts of the Southern High Plains...

Diurnally driven boundary-layer heating/mixing beneath a stream of

mid/high-level clouds will contribute to 15-20 percent RH during the

afternoon. While the pressure gradient will be modest, downward

momentum transfer within the well-mixed boundary layer will support

around 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with

higher gusts). As a result, critical conditions are expected across

southern NM into parts of the southern High Plains.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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