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FNUS22 KWNS 051801

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0100 PM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025



Valid 061200Z - 071200Z



The Elevated area was expanded slightly based on the latest

high-resolution forecast guidance as minimum RH is forecast to be

30-40% with winds of 10-15 mph and temperatures in the mid 80s to

low 90s. Temperatures will be 5-20F above normal from Florida into

the Carolinas ahead of the approaching cold front. Winds will be

stronger (sustained around 15 mph gusting 20-25 mph) farther north

in portions of southern Georgia and the eastern Carolinas where

locally elevated conditions remain possible in the pre-frontal

environment, but RH is likely to be higher (35-50%) with fuels not

quite as dry.



..Nauslar.. 04/05/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Sat Apr 05 2025/



...Synopsis...

A deep mid-level shortwave trough over the southern Plains will move

eastward throughout the day on Sunday, inducing a surface low across

portions of the southeast US. This will advect a relatively dry air

mass inland on the Florida peninsula, where mixing may decrease the

RH to near-critical values across parts of the region while bringing

down some higher momentum from aloft. The fuels in the region should

continue to dry through the period and are expected to be near the

90th percentile ERCs. For these reasons, have introduced an Elevated

highlight across portions of the Florida peninsula for Sunday. This

area may need to be expanded northward into north Florida and

southeast Georgia in subsequent outlooks. However, uncertainty on

exactly how low the RH will be in these regions as well as

uncertainties on fuel dryness preclude highlighting these regions at

this time.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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