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FNUS21 KWNS 120606

FWDDY1



Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0105 AM CDT Sat Apr 12 2025



Valid 121200Z - 131200Z



...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH

PLAINS...



...Synopsis...

With an upper-level trough approaching the northern/central Rockies

today, a surface low will deepen in the central Plains. Dry and

windy conditions will extend from the Southwest into the

southern/central Plains. Dry, down-peninsula winds behind a cold

front will increase fire danger in parts of central/southern

Florida.



...Southwest into southern/central High Plains...

A broad area of 15-25 mph winds will be possible in these regions.

The higher wind speeds will primarily occur within the higher

terrain of the Southwest into the central/southern Rockies. The

upper-level trough will be displaced farther northward and shortwave

ridging aloft will keep wind speeds modest to moderate. Winds will

be driven be the deepening central Plains surface cyclone. RH in

some locations could reach into the single digits. More broadly,

10-20% is expected. Critical fire weather is most likely in the

Raton Mesa vicinity where surface winds west of the surface trough

will be around 20 mph for a longer duration. Elsewhere, elevated

conditions are expected.



...Florida...

RH during the afternoon will likely fall to 20-30% in parts of

central/southern Florida. Winds will not be overly strong, but a

broad area of near 10 mph appears probable. Dry fuels will support

elevated fire weather.



...Central Plains...

With the low-level jet expected to maintain some intensity into the

afternoon, gusty southerly winds will persist through the afternoon.

Moisture return will occur, but Friday night observed dewpoints in

the southern Plains would at least suggest some drier conditions are

probable on the western/northern flanks of the initial return flow.

Stronger winds will extend eastward, but confidence in more than a

locally elevated threat farther east is low. Areas of sustained

winds of 15-20 mph and RH of 15-25% will be possible from western

Kansas into central/eastern Nebraska. Dry grasses will support an

increase risk of fire spread.



..Wendt.. 04/12/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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