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FNUS22 KWNS 131952

FWDDY2



Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0251 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025



Valid 141200Z - 151200Z



In this morning's 12Z guidance, a drying trend was noted across

portions of eastern Nebraska, bringing expected RH into the 20-25%

range. Also, fuels in this region have not yet greened up and are

therefore still relatively dry. Therefore, have brought the Elevated

fire highlight eastward towards the Missouri River.



Additionally, strong winds (gusts to 25-30 mph) may occur across

portions of South Carolina tomorrow afternoon. However, RH is

currently expected to be a bit too high to support an Elevated fire

risk, likely 30-35%, though brief, localized areas of 25-30% RH are

possible. Furthermore, fuels are probably not receptive to fire

spread, given recent rainfall. Therefore, have not introduced any

highlights on this outlook.



Beyond these two areas, the forecast is on track. See the previous

discussion for further details.



..Supinie.. 04/13/2025



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025/



...Synopsis...

The Upper Midwest upper trough will broaden and intensify as it

moves eastward into the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic on Monday. A cold

front will continue south and east, pushing into the northern Gulf.

Strong post-frontal winds at the surface and aloft will continue on

the western flank of the upper trough.



...Southwest South Dakota into central Kansas...

Strong northwesterly winds will persist across much of the Plains

during the morning and early afternoon. Winds just above the surface

will also maintain some intensity into the afternoon, promoting

stronger gusts as well. Sustained winds of 15-20 mph appear most

probable. Winds will tend to gradually weaken mid/late afternoon as

surface low moves farther east and the surface high weakens to the

west. RH of 20-30% will occur, with the lowest values expected

farther south and west. There has been some tendency for guidance to

shift the area of elevated fire weather risk farther south/west. The

elevated area has been shifted accordingly. Strong winds will still

occur near the Missouri River, but RH is expected to be much higher.



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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