####018002159####
FNUS28 KWNS 132145

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0443 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025



Valid 151200Z - 211200Z



The forecast period will begin with an strong shortwave trough over

the eastern half of the CONUS, with general ridging over the western

half of CONUS. Additionally, fuels in the southwestern CONUS and

into the High Plains should be receptive to fire spread throughout

the week. A small jet streak should be embedded in the mid-level

flow on Day 3/Tuesday across portions of the Southwest, and some of

that flow may get mixed downward to the surface under strong surface

heating across portions of New Mexico and Arizona. This may provide

some fire weather risk across this region, and the 40% area has been

maintained in this outlook to reflect that.



By Day 4/Wednesday, the pattern shifts eastward, with troughing

developing over the western parts of the CONUS and ridging over the

central CONUS. The surface low pressure area associated with the

mid-level troughing is expected to provide additional dry and breezy

conditions across parts of New Mexico and Arizona. As such, the 40%

area has been expanded to reflect this.



By Day 5/Thursday, troughing becomes established over the western

CONUS with lee troughing underway across the High Plains. This

feature should provide additional fire weather risk across portions

of the High Plains. The 40% area has been expanded, and a 70% area

has been added where the highest confidence in Critical fire weather

conditions overlaps with dry fuels. This pattern continues on Day

6/Friday, and a 40% area has been added across parts of New Mexico

where the highest confidence in dry and breezy conditions is

currently expected. Areas on both day 5 and 6 may need to be

expanded eastward in subsequent outlooks.



Beyond Day 6, continued dry and windy conditions are possible,

however predictability deteriorates such that additional highlights

are withheld pending later outlooks.



..Supinie.. 04/13/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



$$

####018000415####
FNUS38 KWNS 132145

PFWF38



DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0443 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025



VALID TIME 151200Z - 211200Z



FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3-8



... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ...



D5     34620653 35360560 35910457 37050281 36980189 36490159

       35730208 35130298 34850329 34320418 33840525 34070648

       34620653

&&