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FNUS75 KFGZ 110948

FWSFGZ



Spot Forecast for Bly Pit...USFS

National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ

248 AM MST Sat Oct 11 2025



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on October 11. 

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the 

National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ



.DISCUSSION...A band of moderate rain showers is moving across the 

area this morning. This band will push east, then scattered showers

and thunderstorms begin to fire after 1300 MST today, some storms

may be strong to severe. Chances for showers over the fire peak again

between 1900-2300 this evening. Isolated to scattered showers

and storms will continue through Sunday morning, then precipitation

chances decline thereafter. Today will be breezy with gusts up to 30

mph. Lighter winds are expected Sunday, but gusty and erratic

winds can be expected near stronger storms.



.TODAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning 

                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the

                    afternoon.

Chance of pcpn......90 percent. 

Max temperature.....63 to 65. 

Min humidity........70 to 80 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting 20 to 30

                    mph after 1100 MST. Gusty and erratic winds near

                    thunderstorms. 

Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. 

Clearing Index......1092. 

Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots increasing to 20 to 

                    25 knots in the late morning and afternoon. 



.TONIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms 

                    in the evening, then slight chance of showers and

                    thunderstorms overnight. 

Chance of pcpn......60 percent. 

Min temperature.....46 to 48. 

Max humidity........100 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest winds 10 to 15 mph gusting to 25 

                    mph through 2300 MST. Gusty and erratic winds

                    near thunderstorms. 

Min Vent Rate.......Poor. 

Clearing Index......15. 

Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots. 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers and slight 

                    chance of thunderstorms. 

Chance of pcpn......50 percent. 

Max temperature.....62 to 64. 

Min humidity........50 to 55 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic 

                    winds near thunderstorms. 

Max Vent Rate.......Very good. 

Clearing Index......816. 

Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots. 



A weather forecast table for your SPOT location is linked.

The information provided by this site is for planning purposes only

and is not intended to substitute information provided by an official

National Weather Service SPOT forecast.

https://www.weather.gov/dlh/fwd?lat=34.7047&lon=-111.3097&clat=34.7047&clon=-111.3097



$$

Forecaster...LEWANDOWSKI

Requested by...Joshua OCoy

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2523130.3/FGZ

.DELDT 10/11/25

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL s1jocoy@hotmail.com,cory.ball@usda.gov