####018003374#### WWUS86 KSEW 121802 SABWA Summary Avalanche Forecast for Olympics and Washington Cascades Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington 1002 AM PST Sun Feb 12 2012 This forecast applies to back country avalanche terrain below 7000 feet and does not apply to developed ski areas or highways. Avalanche Forecast Olympics- Washington Cascades- Sunday and Sunday night: Moderate avalanche danger on shaded lee terrain above about 6000 feet and low elsewhere slightly increasing later Sunday Olympics and Sunday night Cascades. Monday and Monday night: Moderate avalanche danger on lee slopes and on sun exposed terrain above 5000 feet, otherwise mostly low avalanche danger elsewhere. Snowpack Synopsis After almost a week of dry and relatively mild conditions in most areas above a weak temperature inversion near the Cascade passes and at lower and mid elevations along the Cascade east slopes, several weak weather systems have moved through the region mid-late last week thru Saturday while further weakening in a strong split flow left behind by the departing ridge. These weak disturbances have produced intermittent light rain or snow, fluctuating freezing levels, and some brief sun breaks...resulting in mostly stable but highly variable surface snow conditions, depending on aspect, elevation and time of day. Such recent surface snow conditions include breakable crusts or thin moist snow layers below about 5 to 6000 feet and on previously sun exposed higher elevations, along with some shallow new snow or older recycled snow above 5 to 6000 feet on more shaded exposures. Sunday and Sunday night After briefly decreasing low clouds and some light showers near and west of the Cascade crest early Sunday, another strongly splitting weather system should approach the coast later Sunday morning and mid-day before weakening and moving mostly southward Sunday afternoon and night. Nevertheless, clouds and light showers should increase over the Olympics mid-day and early afternoon and over the Cascades Sunday afternoon and evening, followed by occasional light snow Sunday night...heaviest in the south. Along with relatively low freezing levels and mainly light winds, this weather should maintain current dangers on Sunday and produce a slight increase in the danger overnight when small amounts of new snow are expected. Monday and Monday night Decreasing light snow or snow showers are expected Monday morning, with widely scattered light showers and some sun breaks Monday afternoon and partly cloudy weather Monday night. Along with relatively low freezing levels and only light winds, this weather should produce a slight danger increase on sun exposed terrain during the later morning and afternoon hours and a slightly decreasing danger Monday night. NWAC weather data and forecasts are also available by calling 206-526-6677 for Washington, 503-808-2400 for the Mt Hood area, or by visiting our Web site at www.nwac.us. Moore/Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington References 1. http://www.nwac.us/