####018003143#### WWUS86 KSEW 171925 SABWA Summary Avalanche Forecast for Olympics and Washington Cascades Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington 1224 PM PDT Sat Mar 17 2012 This forecast applies to back country avalanche terrain below 7000 feet and does not apply to developed ski areas or highways. Avalanche Forecast Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west Saturday: Considerable danger above 4000 feet and moderate below slightly increasing. Danger decreasing Saturday night. Sunday: Considerable danger above 4000 feet and moderate below especially sun exposed terrain. Danger decreasing Sunday night. Washington Cascades east of the crest Saturday: Considerable danger above 5000 feet and moderate below slightly increasing. Danger decreasing Saturday night. Sunday: Considerable danger above 5000 feet and moderate below especially sun exposed terrain. Danger decreasing Sunday night. Snowpack Synopsis A series of storms with strong winds and heavy snow was seen last week. Snowfall at sites near and west of the crest ranged from about 4-11 feet with the most at Mt Baker. The last storm on Thursday also caused a warming trend. This caused a forecasted extreme avalanche danger and a widespread avalanche cycle in the Washington Cascades on Thursday. The largest destructive avalanches were seen in the Mt Baker area which destroyed 2' diameter timber. Snowfall decreased the past 24 hours with a cooling trend. Only a few avalanches were reported on Friday. This indicates that recently formed layers are beginning to stabilize. Saturday Moderate to heavy snow showers Saturday morning should decrease and become light Saturday afternoon. Winds should also decrease with cool temperatures. The main concern will be areas of still stabilizing storm layers on lee slopes. Careful snowpack evaluation and cautious route finding will be necessary on Saturday. Cooling and further stabilizing should decrease the avalanche danger Saturday night. Sunday Light winds with light snow showers mainly in the afternoon hours should be seen on Sunday. The main concern should be sun effects on all the recent snow. Watch for signs of increasing loose snow avalanches on sun exposed terrain which may become large or trigger slab avalanches. A secondary concern will be smaller areas of still stabilizing storm layers on lee slopes. Careful snowpack evaluation and cautious route finding will still be necessary on Sunday. Nighttime cooling and further stabilizing should decrease the avalanche danger Sunday night. n/a n/a NWAC weather data and forecasts are also available by calling 206-526-6677 for Washington, 503-808-2400 for the Mt Hood area, or by visiting our Web site at www.nwac.us. Ferber/Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center Seattle Washington References 1. http://www.nwac.us/