####018006909#### WWIN40 DEMS 250300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 25-09-2025 THE LINE OF WITHDRAWAL OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH 37.5ON/ 73OE, RAMPUR, BUSHAHR, HARIDWAR, MORADABAD, ETAWAH, BANSWARA, VALLABH VIDYANAGAR, VERAVAL, 20.5ON/69OE. CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE FOR FURTHER WITHDRAWAL OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON FROM REMAINING PARTS OF GUJARAT, RAJASTHAN, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND JAMMU & KASHMIR; SOME MORE PARTS OF MADHYA PRADESH, UTTAR PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND DURING NEXT 2 DAYS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ODISHA-NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EASTCENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND EXTENDED UPTO MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS PERSISTS AT 0830 HOURS IST OF TODAY, THE 25 TH SEPTEMBER. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE NEARLY WESTWARDS GRADUALLY. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW-PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. MOVING NEARLY WESTWARDS, IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF SOUTH ODISHA- NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS ON 26 TH SEPTEMBER. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CROSS SOUTH ODISHA-NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS AROUND 27TH SEPTEMBER MORNING. A TROUGH RUNS FROM THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ODISHA-NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS TO SOUTH MAHARASHTRA COAST ACROSS TELANGANA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA BETWEEN 4.5 & 5.8KM ABOVE MEAN SEA. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER KUTCH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, KONKAN & GOA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, COASTAL KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT MANY PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, BIHAR, UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL; DRY WEATHER LIKELY OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, RAJASTHAN. WEATHER WARNINGS: 25 TH SEPTEMBER (DAY 1) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TELANGANA AND VIDARBHA. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, EAST PAGE 10 MADHYA PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, ODISHA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND VIDARBHA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP, ODISHA, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MADHYA PRADESH, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. STRONG SURFACE WINDS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, COASTAL KARNATAKA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP AND ODISHA. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED REACHING 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH IS LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 40 - 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH LIKELY OVER KARNATAKA, KERALA, LAKSHADWEEP AREA GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, OVER MOST PARTS OF SOUTH BAY, CENTRAL BAY AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG AND OFF SRI LANKA COAST, TAMIL NADU, ANDHRA PRADESH, ODISHA, WEST BENGAL, BANGLADESH, MYANMAR COASTS. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 45 - 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ANDAMAN SEA, MANY PARTS OF SOUTH, CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. PAGE 10 26 TH SEPTEMBER (DAY 2) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, ODISHA AND TELANGANA. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, KONKAN & GOA, LAKSHADWEEP, MAHARASHTRA, RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP, ODISHA, RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA, VIDARBHA AND WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, CHHATTISGARH, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MADHYA PRADESH, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. STRONG SURFACE WINDS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, COASTAL KARNATAKA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP AND ODISHA. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED REACHING 45 KMPH TO 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH IS LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 40 - 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOUTH KONKAN AND GOA, KARNATAKA, KERALA COASTS & ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP AREA, OVER GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, OVER MOST PARTS OF SOUTH BAY, CENTRAL BAY AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG AND OFF SRI LANKA COAST, TAMIL NADU, ANDHRA PRADESH, ODISHA, WEST BENGAL, BANGLADESH, MYANMAR COASTS. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 45 - 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ANDAMAN SEA, MANY PARTS OF CENTRAL, SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, SOME PARTS OF NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.=