####018005246#### WWIN40 DEMS 081200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 08-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER IRAN AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 59OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 27ON. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 1.5 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE EAST-WEST TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD TO NORTH CHHATTISGARH ACROSS EAST MADHYA PRADESH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH FROM EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA TO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD ACROSS KONKAN & NORTH MADHYA MAHARASHTRA BETWEEN 1.5 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE NORTH- SOUTH TROUGH FROM SOUTH TELANGANA TO GULF OF MANNAR ACROSS RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AT 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS VERY LIKELY TO ADVANCE INTO SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA, SOME PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND NICOBAR ISLANDS AROUND 13 TH MAY, 2025. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS; AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, GUJARAT STATE; AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, JHARKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, RAYALASEEMA KARNATAKA; WEATHER WARNINGS: 08 TH MAY (DAY 1) THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GUJARAT, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, EAST RAJASTHAN, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, ODISHA, PUNJAB, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND AND VIDARBHA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, BIHAR, WEST RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, COSTAL KARNATAKA, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, JHARKHAND, KERALA AND MAHE, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, HIMACHAL PRADESH, KERALA AND MAHE, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS. HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB & HARYANA. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, KERALA AND MAHE, ODISHA AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, ALONG AND OFF KONKAN COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 09 TH MAY (DAY 2) HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, GUJARAT, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, KONKAN & GOA, MAHARASHTRA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, RAJASTHAN, UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, TELANGANA AND UTTARAKHAND. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, HIMACHAL PRADESH, KERALA AND MAHE, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH. DUST STORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY.=