####018004661#### WWIN40 DEMS 090300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 09-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE NOW SEEN AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVELS. ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE SEEN AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 55OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 27ON. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH FROM EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA TO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW RUNS FROM EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA TO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD ACROSS SOUTH GUJARAT & RAJASTHAN BETWEEN 1.5 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVELS. THE NORTH- SOUTH TROUGH FROM SOUTH TELANGANA TO GULF OF MANNAR NOW RUNS FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO GULF OF MANNAR ACROSS RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA PERSISTS AND NOW SEEN BETWEEN 3.1 & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS VERY LIKELY TO ADVANCE INTO SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA, SOME PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND NICOBAR ISLANDS AROUND 13TH MAY, 2025. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 1.5 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, GUJARAT STATE; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, SUB-HIMALAYA WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, EAST RAJASTHAN, TELANGANA, LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, JHARKHAND, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, WEST RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, CHHATTISGARH, VIDARBHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE. \U2756 DRY WEATHER OVER JHARKHAND. WEATHER WARNINGS: 09TH MAY (DAY 1) \U2756 HEAVY RAIN VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, PUNJAB AND VIDARBHA. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, MARATHWADA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, TELANGANA AND UTTAR PRADESH. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MADHYA PRADESH, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, RAYALASEEMA AND UTTARAKHAND. \U2756 THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, GUJARAT AND RAJASTHAN. \U2756 HOT AND HUMID VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, KERALA AND MAHE, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA AND ODISHA. 10TH MAY (DAY 2) \U2756 HEAVY RAIN VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, COSTAL KARNATAKA AND UTTAR PRADESH. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TELANGANA AND VIDARBHA. \U2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, GUJARAT, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MADHYA PRADESH, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, RAJASTHAN AND UTTARAKHAND. \U2756 HEAT WAVE VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL. \U2756 HOT AND HUMID VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KERALA AND MAHE, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,=