####018005975#### WWIN40 DEMS 100300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 10-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: \u2756 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW SEEN AT 3.1 ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 70°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30°N. \u2756 THE OTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 55°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 27°N PERSISTS. \u2756 THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. \u2756 AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. \u2756 AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SAURASHTRA AND ITS NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. \u2756 THE TROUGH FROM EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA TO NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH ACROSS NORTH KONKAN, NORTH MADHYA MAHARASHTRA PERSISTS AND NOW RUNS AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVELS. \u2756 THE NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO GULF OF MANNAR NOW RUNS FROM MARATHWADA TO GULF OF MANNAR ACROSS INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND TAMIL NADU AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. \u2756 THE TROUGH IN WESTERLIES FROM EAST UTTAR PRADESH TO SOUTHEAST TELANGANA ACROSS EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND VIDARBHA BETWEEN 9.4 & 12.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. \u2756 THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. \u2756 THE UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. \u2756 THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA BETWEEN 3.1 & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. \u2756 SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS VERY LIKELY TO ADVANCE INTO SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA, SOME PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND NICOBAR ISLANDS AROUND 13TH MAY, 2025. IT IS LIKELY TO ADVANCE OVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA; SOME MORE PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ENTIRE ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA; AND SOME PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING SUBSEQUENT 4-5 DAYS. \u2756 THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. \u2756 THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER KERALA AND ADJOINING TAMIL NADU AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: \u2756 AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH; \u2756 AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; \u2756 AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA- CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN- MUZAFFARABAD, GUJARAT STATE, VIDARBHA, TELANGANA, LAKSHADWEEP; \u2756 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, UTTAR PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE; WEATHER WARNINGS: 10TH MAY (DAY 1) \u2756 HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH. \u2756 THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, EAST RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT REGION, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, KONKAN & GOA, MARATHWADA, TELANGANA. \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, COASTAL KARNATAKA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, \u2756 HEAT WAVE CONDITION VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. \u2756 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, ODISHA. 11TH MAY (DAY 2) \u2756 HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, RAJASTHAN, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, TELANGANA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, MARATHWADA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, GUJARAT STATE, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, COASTAL KARNATAKA. \u2756 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP. \u2756 HEAT WAVE CONDITION VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, . \u2756 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, ODISHA, JHARKHAND.