####018007402#### WWIN40 DEMS 140300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 14-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE NORTHERN LIMIT OF MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH 5ON/75OE, 5ON/80OE, 6ON/86OE, 8.5ON/90OE, HUT BAY, 13ON/95OE. AND 16ON/98OE. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER ADVANCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA; SOME MORE PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ENTIRE ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, REMAINING PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA; AND SOME PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 2-3 DAYS. THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 73OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER UTTARAKHAND & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BIHAR & ADJOINING SUB- HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER GUJARAT STATE BETWEEN 3.1 AND 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER KONKAN AND ITS NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BIHAR & ADJOINING SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL TO SOUTH CHHATTISGARH NOW RUNS FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BIHAR & ADJOINING SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL TO NORTH RAYALASEEMA ACROSS JHARKHAND, VIDARBHA, TELANGANA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER ANDAMAN SEA PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING TAMIL NADU COAST AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH FROM WEST VIDARBHA TO NORTH KERALA ACROSS MARATHWADA & INTERIOR KARNATAKA AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE TROUGH FROM SAURASHTRA TO EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ACROSS NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, KARNATAKA; AT MANY PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ODISHA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL; AT ISOLATED PLACES 0VER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH -GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 14 TH MAY (DAY 1) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, COSTAL KARNATAKA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA AND MAHE, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, ODISHA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, GUJARAT, KERALA AND MAHE, KONKAN & GOA, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, VIDARBHA, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, COSTAL KARNATAKA, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND JHARKHAND. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, LAKSHADWEEP AND RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, ODISHA AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH PREVAILING OFF KARNATAKA, NORTH KERALA COASTS AND ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP AREA, OVER ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 15 TH MAY (DAY 2) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HEAVY RAIN VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA AND MAHE, KONKAN & GOA, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, ODISHA, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, VIDARBHA AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, BIHAR, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT, JHARKHAND AND SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, COSTAL KARNATAKA AND UTTARAKHAND. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, ODISHA AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH PREVAILING OVER ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=