####018006464#### WWIN40 DEMS 151200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 15-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: SOUTHWEST MONSOON HAS FURTHER ADVANCED TODAY INTO SOME PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA AND SOME MORE PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA. THE NORTHERN LIMIT OF MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH 5°N/70°E, 6°N/75°E, 6°N/80°E, 7°N/85°E, 8°N/87°E, 10°N/90°E, LONG ISLAND, 15°N/95°E AND 17°N/97°E. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER ADVANCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER SOME MORE PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA; SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, REMAINING PARTS OF ANDAMAN ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA; AND SOME PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 3-4 DAYS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER GUJARAT STATE OVER SOUTH GUJARAT & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH FROM SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM TO SOUTHEAST MADHYA PRADESH ACROSS NORTH CHHATTISGARH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER ANDAMAN SEA OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH COASTAL TAMIL NADU & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA; AT MANY PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, COASTAL KARNATAKA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ODISHA, CHHATTISGARH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES 0VER JHARKHAND, BIHAR, UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA- CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR- LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE, , MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 15 TH MAY (DAY 1)  HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ANDHRA PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING (50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, ODISHA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40- 50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, GUJARAT STATE, KERALA & MAHE, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA PRADESH, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, RAJASTHAN, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND VIDARBHA.  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30- 40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND AND UTTARAKHAND.  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND COSTAL KARNATAKA.  HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST RAJASTHAN.  HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, ODISHA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.  WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH.  SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR; ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST; ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL; SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH PREVAILING OVER ANDAMAN SEA; ADJOINING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST; EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 16 TH MAY (DAY 2) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.  HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND TELANGANA.  THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40- 50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA PRADESH, MAHARASHTRA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, ODISHA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30- 40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND UTTARAKHAND. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND COSTAL KARNATAKA.  DUST RAISING WINDS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN.  HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, PUNJAB, UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST RAJASTHAN.  HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JHARKHAND AND ODISHA.  WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH.  SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR; ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST; ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL; SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH PREVAILING OVER ANDAMAN SEA; ADJOINING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST; EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.