####018006332#### WWIN40 DEMS 161200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 16-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE NORTHERN LIMIT OF MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH 5°N/70°E, 6°N/75°E, 6°N/80°E, 7°N/85°E, 8°N/87°E, 10°N/90°E, LONG ISLAND, 15°N/95°E AND 17°N/97°E. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER ADVANCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER SOME MORE PARTS OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA, MALDIVES & COMORIN AREA; SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, REMAINING PARTS OF ANDAMAN ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA; AND SOME PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 2-3 DAYS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH RUNS FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH TO NORTH BANGLADESH ACROSS EAST UTTAR PRADESH, BIHAR, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER HARYANA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL ASSAM AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EASTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH GUJARAT-NORTH KONKAN COASTS AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; AT MANY PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, BIHAR, UTTARAKHAND, VIDARBHA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL KARNATAKA; AT ISOLATED PLACES 0VER ODISHA, UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, EAST RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, CHHATTISGARH DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 16TH MAY (DAY 1) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ANDHRA PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, COSTAL KARNATAKA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, ODISHA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, CHHATTISGARH, EAST RAJASTHAN, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA PRADESH, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, PUNJAB, UTTARAKHAND AND WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KERALA & MAHE, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, VIDARBHA AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND COSTAL KARNATAKA. DUST RAISING WINDS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR, SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR AND ODISHA. WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND EAST UTTAR PRADESH. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH PREVAILING OVER ANDAMAN SEA, SOME PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING EAST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. 17TH MAY (DAY 2) HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE, TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, ODISHA AND TELANGANA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40-50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, INTERIOR KARNATAKA, JHARKHAND, KONKAN & GOA, MAHARASHTRA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, RAYALASEEMA AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30-40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, EAST RAJASTHAN, KERALA & MAHE, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMIL NADU PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND UTTARAKHAND. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND COSTAL KARNATAKA. DUST RAISING WINDS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR, SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH AND WEST RAJASTHAN. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR AND ODISHA. WARM NIGHT CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG AND OFF SOMALIA COAST, ALONG AND OFF OMAN COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR; ADJOINING COMORIN AREA, ALONG AND OFF SOUTH SRI LANKA COAST; ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.