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WWIN40 DEMS 020300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 02-05-2025



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:



 The trough in westerlies now runs roughly along Long. 85°E to the north of Lat. 18°N at 9.6 km above

mean sea level.

 The cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 km above

mean sea level persists.

 The north-south trough now runs from above upper air cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan

& neighbourhood to north Kerala across southeast Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha,

Marathwada, Interior Karnataka at 0.9 km above mean sea level.

The upper air cyclonic circulation over north Bangladesh extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level

persists.

The other trough in westerlies now runs roughly along Long. 91°E to the north of Lat. 18°N between

3.1 & 5.8 km above mean sea level.

 A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Western Himalayan region from 02nd May, 2025.

 The upper air cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea

level has become less marked.

 The upper air cyclonic circulation over northwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood extending upto

1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked.

RAINFALL FORECAST:



 AT MANY PLACES OVER Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Sub-

Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana-Chandigarh-

Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep;



 AT A FEW PLACES OVER Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh,

Uttarakhand, Punjab, Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, East Madhya Pradesh,

Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER Bihar, West Rajasthan, East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat state,

Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal Karnataka,

North Interior Karnataka;

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

Weather Warnings for next 7 days is given below:

(Graphics for warnings & rainfall distribution (Table 1) are given below the text:

02

nd May (Day 1)

 Thunderstorms accompanied with Heavy Rainfall very likely at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya,

South Interior Karnataka and Kerala.

Thundersquall accompanied with wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph very likely at isolated places over West

Uttar Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, West Rajasthan, East Rajasthan,

West Madhya Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

 Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50kmph gusting to 60 kmph) very



likely at isolated places over Odisha, Jharkhand, Punjab, Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-

Muzaffarabad, Telangana, Kerala, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema



and North Interior Karnataka.

 Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40kmph gusting to 50 kmph) very

likely at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, Gangetic

West Bengal, Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh and Tamilnadu & Puducherry.

Thunderstorm & Lightning very likely at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, South Himalayan West

Bengal & Sikkim and Costal Karnataka.

Hot and Humid conditions very likely at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema,

Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

 Dust Storm/Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50kmph gusting to 60

kmph) very likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan and East Rajasthan.

\u2756 Thunderstorm accompanied Hailstorm very likely at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Madhya

Pradesh and Vidarbha.

\u2756 Hot and Humid very likely at isolated places over Tamilnadu & Puducherry and Kerala.

03

rd

May (Day 2)

\u2756 Thunderstorms accompanied with Heavy Rainfall very likely at isolated places over Odisha and Coastal

Andhra Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka.

 Thundersquall accompanied with wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph likely at isolated places over Gangetic

West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh, South Interior

Karnataka.

 Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely at

isolated places West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir and

Ladakh, West Rajasthan, East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and

Rayalaseema, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Kerala.

 Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely at

isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Meghalaya & Tripura, South Himalayan

West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra and Telangana, Tamil Nadu,

Puducherry & Karaikal.

Thunderstorm & Lightning likely at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Gujarat Region, Saurashtra &

Kutch, Marathwada and Costal Karnataka.

Dust Storm/Thunderstorms accompanied with gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40kmph gusting to 50

kmph) likely at isolated places over Rajasthan.

Thunderstorm accompanied with Hailstorm likely at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal &

Sikkim, Odisha, Himachal Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.



 Hot and Humid very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

 Squally wind with speed 45 kmph to 50 kmph gusting to 55 kmph very likely to prevail over some parts of

Northeast Arabian Sea and off North Gujarat Coast, Over Gulf Of Mannar And Adjoining Comorin Area.