####018005872#### WWIN40 DEMS 021200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 02-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH PUNJAB & ADJOINING NORTH RAJASTHAN & WEST HARYANA BETWEEN 5.8 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH BETWEEN 1.5 & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH FROM PUNJAB TO NORTH KERALA ACROSS HARYANA, CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, MARATHWADA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE EAST-WEST TROUGH FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH TO BANGLADESH ACROSS NORTH MADHYA PRADESH, NORTH CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL EXTENDING UP TO 1.5KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 90OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 22ON PERSISTS. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, HIMACHAL PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, KERALA & MAHE, LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, JHARKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, WEST RAJASTHAN, EAST RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL KARNATAKA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 02ND MAY (DAY 1) THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA. THUNDERSQUALL ACCOMPANIED WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST UTTAR PRADESH, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, WEST RAJASTHAN, EAST RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA AND CHHATTISGARH. THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, JHARKHAND, PUNJAB, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, TELANGANA, KERALA, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, RAYALASEEMA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MEGHALAYA & TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, BIHAR, EAST UTTAR PRADESH AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. THUNDERSTORM & LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, SOUTH HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND COSTAL KARNATAKA. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, RAYALASEEMA, KERALA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. DUST STORM/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN AND EAST RAJASTHAN. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND VIDARBHA. HOT AND HUMID VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY AND KERALA. 03RD MAY (DAY 2) THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. THUNDERSQUALL ACCOMPANIED WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, JHARKHAND, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA AND CHHATTISGARH, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES WEST UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, WEST RAJASTHAN, EAST RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND RAYALASEEMA, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI AND KERALA. THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MEGHALAYA & TRIPURA, SOUTH HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, BIHAR, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. THUNDERSTORM & LIGHTNING LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, MARATHWADA AND COSTAL KARNATAKA. DUST STORM/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH HAILSTORM LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, HIMACHAL PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND CHHATTISGARH. HOT AND HUMID VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOME PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND OFF NORTH GUJARAT COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND ADJOINING COMORIN AREA.=