####018005835#### WWIN40 DEMS 030300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 03-05-2025 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTH PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER WEST UTTAR PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN NOW LIES OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH NOW RUNS FROM THE ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD TO SOUTH TAMIL NADU ACROSS GUJARAT, MAHARASHTRA, INTERIOR KARNATAKA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE EAST-WEST TROUGH NOW RUNS FROM THE ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD TO NORTH ODISHA ACROSS MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND AND EXTENDS UP TO 1.5KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND NOW EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 90OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 22ON HAS MOVED AWAY EASTWARDS. THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH PUNJAB & ADJOINING NORTH RAJASTHAN & WEST HARYANA BETWEEN 5.8 & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS MOVED AWAY EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS. THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH BETWEEN 1.5 & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, BIHAR, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE; AT ISOLATED PLACES RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 03RD MAY (DAY 1) HEAVY RAIN VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER KERALA AND MAHE, ODISHA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, CHHATTISGARH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, ODISHA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND UTTARAKHAND. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40- 50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, KERALA AND MAHE, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY, TELANGANA, UTTAR PRADESH, VIDARBHA AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30- 40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, COSTAL KARNATAKA, GUJARAT, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND LAKSHADWEEP. HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, HIMACHAL PRADESH, ODISHA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND UTTARAKHAND. HOT AND HUMID VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. DUST STORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER MANY PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, ALONG AND OFF NORTH GUJARAT COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND ADJOINING COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 04TH MAY (DAY 2) HEAVY RAIN VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA. THUNDERSQUALL WITH WIND SPEED REACHING(50-60KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, ODISHA, PUNJAB, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, UTTARAKHAND AND WEST UTTAR PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(40- 50KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDHRA PRADESH, BIHAR, CHHATTISGARH, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, GUJARAT, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU AND KASHMIR AND LADAKH, JHARKHAND, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, RAJASTHAN, TELANGANA, VIDARBHA AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS(30- 40KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, COSTAL KARNATAKA, KERALA AND MAHE, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM AND TRIPURA, SUB HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH. HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND. DUST STORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN. SQUALLY WIND WITH SPEED 45 KMPH TO 50 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER MANY PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, ALONG AND OFF NORTH GUJARAT COAST, OVER GULF OF MANNAR AND ADJOINING COMORIN AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=