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WTIN20 DEMS 040600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 04.05.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

04.05.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 04.05.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay

over south Andaman Sea and west central Bay of Bengal. Scattered low and medium

clouds with embedded isolated moderate to intense convection lay over rest Bay of

Bengal.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

  

24       24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS      HOURS  

NIL       NIL       NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL 

*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

A fresh upper air cyclonic circulation formed over northeast Arabian Sea adjoining Gujarat

coasts at 0.9 km above mean sea level at 0000 UTC of today the 04th May, 2025 and

now it persisted over the same region at 0300 UTC of today, the 04th May, 2025.

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated moderate to intense convection

lay over south Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep islands area, Comorin & Maldives area.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:

  

24       24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS      HOURS  

NIL       NIL       NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL 





*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL