####018001601#### WTIN20 DEMS 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.05.2025 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 11.05.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.05.2025. BAY OF BENGAL: Yesterday\u2019s upper air cyclonic circulation over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea between 3.1 & 4.5 km above mean sea level became less marked at 0300 UTC of today, the 11 th May 2025. Scattered to broken low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea, Tenasserim coast & Gulf of Martaban. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over eastcentral Bay of Bengal. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated moderate to intense convection lay over eastcentral & southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep islands area & Maldives area. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY