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WTIN20 DEMS 130640

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.05.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

13.05.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.05.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

An upper air cyclonic circulation lay over Andaman Sea between 1.5 km and 7.6 km above mean

sea level tilting southwestwards with height at 0300 UTC of today, 13th May, 2025.

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over

south Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and moderate to intense convection lay over Gulf of Martaban,

Tenasserim Coast. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded weak to moderate

convection lay over north & central Bay of Bengal.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS      HOURS  

NIL       NIL       NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL  

  



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over

eastcentral & south Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep Islands area, Maldives & Comorin area.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120   120-144   144-168  

HOURS     HOURS     HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS      HOURS  

NIL       NIL       NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL  

  



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

REMARKS: NIL