####018002467#### WTIN20 DEMS 140600 REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.05.2025 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 14.05.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.05.2025. BAY OF BENGAL: Yesterday\u2019s upper air cyclonic circulation over Andaman Sea extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height persisted at 0300 UTC of today, 14 th May, 2025. An upper air cyclonic circulation lay over southwest Bay of Bengal adjoining Tamil Nadu coast at 1.5 km above mean sea level at 0300 UTC of today, 14 th May, 2025. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over central & southwest Bay of Bengal and isolated weak to moderate convection lay over rest of Bay of Bengal. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY   ARABIAN SEA: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka-Kerala coasts. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over south Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep Islands area, Maldives & Comorin area. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL  *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL