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WTIN20 DEMS 140600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.05.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THENEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

14.05.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.05.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

Yesterday\u2019s upper air cyclonic circulation over Andaman Sea extending upto 3.1 km above mean

sea level tilting southwestwards with height persisted at 0300 UTC of today, 14 th May, 2025.

An upper air cyclonic circulation lay over southwest Bay of Bengal adjoining Tamil Nadu coast at

1.5 km above mean sea level at 0300 UTC of today, 14 th May, 2025.

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over

southeast Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded

moderate to intense convection lay over central & southwest Bay of Bengal and isolated weak to

moderate convection lay over rest of Bay of Bengal.

*PROBABILITYOFCYCLOGENESIS(FORMATIONOFDEPRESSION)DURINGNEXT168HRS:

24      24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120    120-144   144-168                                                                                                

HOURS     HOURS    HOURS  HOURS     HOURS   HOURS     HOURS                                                                      



NIL        NIL      NIL    NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL

*NOTE: EVERY24HRFORECASTISVALIDUPTO0300UTC(0830IST)OFNEXTDAY



ARABIANSEA:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over

southeast adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka-Kerala coasts. Scattered low and

medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over south Arabian Sea,

Lakshadweep Islands area, Maldives & Comorin area.

*PROBABILITYOFCYCLOGENESIS(FORMATIONOFDEPRESSION)DURINGNEXT168HRS:

24      24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120    120-144   144-168                                                                                                

HOURS     HOURS    HOURS  HOURS     HOURS   HOURS     HOURS                                                                      



NIL        NIL      NIL    NIL     NIL      NIL       NIL

*NOTE:EVERY24HRFORECASTISVALIDUPTO0300UTC(0830IST)OFNEXTDAY

REMARKS: NIL