####018001814#### WTIN20 DEMS 280615 REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 28.12.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 28.12.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 28.12.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over Andaman Sea & Tenasserim coast. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over south Bay of Bengal and isolated weak to moderate convection lay over eastcentral Bay of Bengal. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: Yesterdays cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea off south Kerala coast at 3.1 km above mean sea level persisted at 0300 UTC of today, the 28 th December, 2024. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over southeast & eastcentral Arabian sea, Lakshadweep islands area & Comorin area. Scattered low and medium clouds over gulf of Cambay central & southwest & westcentral Arabian sea. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL