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WTIN20 DEMS 300615



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 30.12.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

30.12.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 30.12.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

A fresh cyclonic circulation lay over central parts of south Bay of Bengal & adjoining Equatorial

Indian Ocean extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level at 0300 UTC of today, the 30th

December, 2024.

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over

south Bay of Bengal. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense

convection lay over central Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL         NIL       NIL        NIL 



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over

eastcentral Arabian Sea, Maldives & Comorin area and weak to moderate convection lay over

southeast Arabian sea, Lakshadweep islands area.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL         NIL       NIL        NIL 



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL