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WTIN20 DEMS 310701

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW

DELHI



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 31.12.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF

BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC

OF

31.12.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 31.12.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY

OF BENGAL & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL

INDIAN OCEAN LAY OVER EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST

BAY OF BENGAL EXTENDING

UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31



ST DECEMBER, 2024. IT PERSISTED



OVER SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31ST DECEMBER, 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER

SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED

MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24      24-48    48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL         NIL      NIL        NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN

AREA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER ARABIAN SEA,

MALDIVES AREA & LAKSHADWEEP

ISLANDS AREA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24      24-48    48-72     72-96     96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS     HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL         NIL      NIL        NIL



*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL=