####018001928#### WTIN20 DEMS 090624 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.01.2025 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 09.01.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.01.2025. BAY OF BENGAL: Yesterdays cyclonic circulation over Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level persisted at 0300 UTC of today, the 09 th January, 2025. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast Bay of Bengal, south Andaman Sea and moderate to intense convection lay over southwest Bay of Bengal, north Andaman Sea. Scattered low and medium clouds over north & central Bay of Bengal. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: A fresh cyclonic circulation lay over southeast Arabian Sea off Kerala coast at 3.1 km above mean sea level at 0300 UTC of today, the 09 th January, 2025. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over southeast Arabian Sea adjoining equatorial Indian ocean. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over central & southwest Arabian Sea. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144 HOURS 144-168 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL