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WTIN20 DEMS 110640

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.01.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

11.01.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.01.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

Yesterday\u2019s cyclonic circulation over Southeast and adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal lay over

Southwest and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level at

0300 UTC of today, the 11



th January, 2025.



Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense convection lay over southwest Bay of

Bengal. Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded weak to moderate convection lay over

south parts of central Bay of Bengal, southeast Bay of Bengal & Andaman Sea. Scattered low and

medium clouds over northwest Bay of Bengal.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72    72-96     96-120     120-144    144-168    

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS       HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense convection lay over south Arabian Sea

Maldives & Comorin area adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean. Scattered low and medium clouds with

embedded isolated weak to moderate convection lay over central Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep

islands area. Scattered low and medium clouds over north Arabian Sea & Gulf of Cambay.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72    72-96     96-120     120-144    144-168    

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS       HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL