####018001851####
WTIN20 DEMS 120613

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12.01.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

12.01.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 12.01.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL LAY OVER

EAST SRI LANKA COAST & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 12



TH JANUARY, 2025.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF

BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72    72-96     96-120     120-144    144-168    

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS       HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL







*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH

PART OF EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, LAKSHADWEEP ISLAND, MALDIVES, COMORIN AREA AND WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER WEST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:





24      24-48    48-72    72-96     96-120     120-144    144-168    

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS       HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL









*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL