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WTIN20 DEMS 150645



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.01.2025

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

15.01.2025 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.01.2025.

BAY OF BENGAL:

Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded intense to very intense convection lay over

south Bay of Bengal adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean. Scattered low and medium clouds over

rest of Bay of Bengal & Andaman Sea.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS      HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL        NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

Yesterday\u2019s cyclonic circulation over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Equatorial Indian

Ocean extending upto 0.9 km above mean sea level has become less marked at 0300 UTC of

today, the 15



th January, 2025.



Scattered low and medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection lay over

eastcentral & south Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep islands area, Maldives and Comorin area. Scattered

low and medium clouds over north & westcentral Arabian Sea.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



24      24-48    48-72    72-96    96-120    120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS      HOURS      HOURS

NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL      NIL        NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY



REMARKS: NIL